The Manual of Strategic Economic Decision Making : Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Solve Complex Problems. 1st ed. 2016

種類:

電子ブック

責任表示:

by Jeff Grover

出版情報:

Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2016

著者名:

• Grover, Jeff.
• SpringerLink (Online service)

ISBN:

9783319484143 [3319484141]    

注記:

1. Introduction -- 1.1 Bayes' Theorem: An Introduction -- 1.2 Protocol -- 1.3 Data -- 1.4 Statistical Properties of Bayes' Theorem -- 1.5 Base Matrices -- 1.5.1 Event A Node -- 2. Base Matrices -- 2.1 Event A Node -- 2.1.1 Event A Node-Prior Counts -- 2.1.2 Module A-Prior Probabilities -- 2.2 Event B -- 2.2.1 Event B Node-Likelihood Counts -- 2.2.2 Module B Node -- 2.2.3 Event B Node-Counts -- 2.2.4 Event B Node-Likelihood Probabilities -- 2.3 Event C Node -- 2.3.1 Event C Node-Counts -- 2.3.2 Event C Node-Likelihood Probabilities -- 2.3.3 Event C Node-Counts -- 2.3.4 Event C Node-Likelihood Probabilities -- 2.3.5 Event C Node-Counts -- 2.3.6 Event C Node-Likelihood Probabilities -- 2.3.7 Event C Node-Counts -- 2.3.8 Event C Node-Probabilities -- 2.4 Event D Node -- 2.4.1 Event D Node-Counts -- 2.4.2 Event D Node-Likelihood Probabilities -- 2.5 Event D Node-Counts -- 2.5.1 Event D Node-Likelihood Probabilities -- 2.5.2 Event D Node-Counts -- 2.5.3 Event D Node-Likelihood Probabilities -- 2.5.4 Event D Node-Co
This book is an extension of the author’s first book and serves as a guide and manual on how to specify and compute 2-, 3-, & 4-Event Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN). It walks the learner through the steps of fitting and solving fifty BBN numerically, using mathematical proof. The author wrote this book primarily for naïve learners and professionals, with a proof-based academic rigor. The author's first book on this topic, a primer introducing learners to the basic complexities and nuances associated with learning Bayes’ theory and inverse probability for the first time, was meant for non-statisticians unfamiliar with the theorem - as is this book. This new book expands upon that approach and is meant to be a prescriptive guide for building BBN and executive decision-making for students and professionals; intended so that decision-makers can invest their time and start using this inductive reasoning principle in their decision-making processes. It highlights the utility of an algorithm that served as the basis

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